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1)  seasonal trend model forecasting
趋势季节模型预测法
2)  season trend model
季节型趋势模型
1.
This paper deals with establishing season trend model, and forecasting the power supply of a city in 2002 by adopting the two methods of advancing linearity and advancing season index.
应用季节型趋势模型,采用先定线性趋势和先定季节指数两种预测方法,对某市2002年供电量进行预测,其预测结果为电网发展规划和电力生产计划提供了重要的依据。
3)  trend-season model
趋势季节模型
1.
Time sequence prediction was also conducted in the course combined with trend-season model and exponential smoothing based on the 6th detector.
结合趋势季节模型,以六号探头为研究对象,利用指数平滑法,进行时间序列预测,得到下一个时间段的有害气体扩散数据。
2.
Conclusions Trend-season model showed that, according to the seasonal change of the number of examiners,it was necessary to adjust the plan and prerrange entry-exit persons for inspecting to improve diseases surveillance level.
目的探讨趋势季节模型预测出境劳务人员HBsAg阳性率的实用意义和可行性。
4)  Season and trend mode
季节和趋势模型
5)  seasonal trend model
趋势季节模型
1.
Methods: Based on the data of the clinical blood demand in Urumqi Blood Center from September 2004 to December 2008,researchers generated the suspension RBC clinical blood demand distribution maps by using X-11 seasonal adjustment method,Box-Jenkins seasonal models and the seasonal trend model for analyzing and predicting.
方法:根据乌鲁木齐市血液中心提供的2004年9月至2008年12月的各型悬浮红细胞临床用量绘制时间序列图,应用X-11季节调整模型、ARIMA模型和趋势季节模型对其进行分析和定量预测,用平均相对误差来评价三种方法的拟合度。
2.
Objective To analyze hand-foot-mouth disease(HFMD) from 2005 to 2008 in Songjiang District of Shanghai City and to predict the epidemic trend of the HFMD by using Seasonal Trend Model Methods HFMD data from 2005 to 2008 in Songjiang District of Shanghai City were analyzed by using SAS 9.
目的分析上海市松江区2005-2008年手足口病疫情,并应用趋势季节模型预测2009年手足口病的发病趋势。
6)  tendency model
趋势预测模型
1.
Based on the changes of the tourist number in recent years,the tourist number in future was forecasted through two tendency model,and the Taibai Mountain National Forest Park was defined in the transition stage of development and consolidation in tourism area life cycle.
依据太白山国家森林公园近几年客流变化,运用直线趋势预测模型和戈珀兹趋势预测模型对未来五年游客人数进行预测,界定太白山国家森林公园的生命周期正处于发展阶段与巩固阶段的过渡期。
补充资料:季节变动预测法


季节变动预测法


【季节变动预测法】亦称“季节指数预测法”。先建立描述整个时间序列总体发展趋势的数学方程;再考虑季节变动对预测对象的影响,计算出季节指数;最后将两者综合而得到能够描述总体发展趋势与季节性变动的预测模型,并用于预测的方法。 季节变动预测模型,可写为: 认二【A寿〕:·巩式中:夕.为第t期的预测值;【AK丫」t为反映总体发展趋势的数学方程;Fk为季节周期中第k周期的季节指数。可以用原序列}y.}与长期趋势比来求解,也可用其他方法,如季节调整方法中的乘法模型来求出。
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