The Post-evaluation of Urban Rail Transit Passenger Flow Forecast;

In view of the importance of rail transit passenger flow forecasting,in order to improve the precision of "the four stage methods" of urban agglomeration transit passenger flow,this paper first analyzed the characteristics of the urban agglomeration transit passenger flow,then divided that into two types: independent network assignment method and comprehensive network assignment method.

The forecast method of synthesis network assignment usually uses the passenger flow forecast of metropolitan agglomeration.

Study on Passenger Volume Forecasting Model and Type Choice Design of BRT Station;

Based on the analyses of the role, functions and passenger flow characteristics of Guangzhou-Zhuhai intercity rapid mass transit, the basic idea that intercity mass transit should be taken as a regional passenger corridor was proposed, and the technical route of passenger volume forecasting based on the four-step forecasting method was put forward.

To address issues pertaining to urban rail transit passenger volume forecasting, this paper discusses several related fundamental points of view, including horizon years, and study scopes.

Time limits and contents of passenger flow prediction are proposed from the demands of operation.

The paper studies in line with practice the time duration, objectives, contents and the approaches of analysis for the prediction of passenger flow in each stage as well as the methods for identifying the results of passenger flow prediction and presents new ideas for guiding the design of operation organization.

According to this, the paper carries outan analysis and evaluation to the reliability of passenger volume forecast andthe rationality of forecast result for Guangzhou-Zhuhai Intercity MRT.

This paper analyses the relations between the passenger forecast and the length/width of platform,as well as the way of entrance,discusses the result of the influences of passenger flow forecast on the station scale an.