Based on the research on the terminal guidance acquisition probability model and carrier aircraft survival probability model for long-range air-to-air missiles,this paper established the computational model of attack-defense success probability,and gave an example of verification regarding F-16 as the attack target,and then analyzed the factors that affect the atta.

The analysis shows that the Grover s algorithm and the improved algorithm of Long are hard to attain 100% success probability.

Based on theory of navigation information estimation, the success probability of integer GPS ambiguity rounding is analyzed by statistical method.

Finally,on the basis of the discriminant analysis,we develop a success probability model for monitoring the R&D/NPD process.

Giving the attacking success average a new definition through consulting literary,by watching video and data analysis,studying the attacking success average of Chinese Men Basketball Team.

Through analyzing the radiant point orientation and attack process of the attacker,this paper mainly studies the first attack probability of the level bombing attacker.

Determining the accessing zone of air to ground weapons,first attack probability and maximun discovery probability are discussed.

We have a hypothesis that the attack has already occurred,then we compute the attack probability of the node,after that generate the danger level to rank the nodes to provide a vivid and easy reading graph.