Taking the estimation of the dispersion of the missile falling points as an example, the conclusion is drawn that by con sidering the credibility of the prior information, the new algorithm of Bayesian estimation is obviously improved,that is, it is of a better credibility.

Study and Simulation Techniques of Sequential Fall Point Dispersion for Regional Blockade Airborne Dispenser;

Study of Fall Point Dispersion and Damage Effect Evaluation for Airborne Dispenser upon Runway;

A model of distribution is established based on lateral ejection and is verified by ballistic simulation,a method of simulation of fall point is given when aerodynamic interference is only considered,and the affection of aerodynamic interference is analyzed to radical uniformity of distribution.